Equirus Wealth
05 Dec 2022 • 6 min read
The repo rate in India is set at 6.50% and was left unchanged following the announcement on June 7, 2024.
The Repurchase Agreement or Repurchasing Option (Full form for Repo Rate) is the rate at which a nation's central bank (in India, the Reserve Bank of India) sanctions loans to commercial banks in the event of a funding shortage. The repo rate is used by monetary authorities to control inflation. The reverse repo rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank borrows money from domestic and commercial banks.
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The hike will directly impact the banks' lending rates in the repo rate. To compensate for the increased repo rate, the banks will undoubtedly increase the interest rate they charge borrowers. The cost of home loans, personal loans, and other credit options will rise. If you have customers who have house loans with fluctuating interest rates, this move in the repo rate will affect you the most.
As other lendings and interest rates are correlated with the repo rate, a decline in the repo rate will likely result in a reduction in the interest you pay on your mortgage, car loan, or savings and investment products. This repo rate change implies that your debt payback obligations will become smaller each month.
The RBI can reduce the surplus liquidity in the economy and keep inflation under control by raising the repo rate.
Economic Growth
Despite being necessary to combat inflation, successive rate increases over a brief period are predicted to impact economic growth negatively. As price increases, the underprivileged segments of society will no longer be able to afford goods and services. The RBI has decided to raise the repo rate to focus on managing inflation, even at the expense of economic growth.
Effect on Loans and Other Credit Instruments
The increase in the repo rate will immediately impact the banks' lending rates. The banks would probably raise the interest rate they charge borrowers to compensate for the increased repo rate. Home loans, personal loans, and other credit facilities will become more expensive. This repo rate change will most impact you if you have home loan customers with floating interest rates.
Inflation
The RBI announced that it would continue to remove its accommodative posture while promoting growth, raising the repo rate by 190 basis points this fiscal year. "The move to increase the rates was in accordance with the global cues and done to manage the headline inflation in the nation," RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said in his speech.
It is predicted that these price hikes will cause inflation to decrease, allowing the RBI to take a breather. Regarding policy rates, it is also believed that the economy is close to reaching its top and that further RBI repo rate increases are unlikely.
Fixed Deposit Rates
Every time the repo rate increases, there will be a hike in bank deposit interest rates. According to financial experts, customers with short- and medium-term assets, such as fixed deposits and savings, may profit from higher rates as they will get higher returns from their investments based on how banking institutions react to the most recent interest rate hike.
Debt Mutual Funds
Bond prices decline when yield increases, which lowers the return on debt investments. Due to this, you are compelled to withdraw your funds from the market to wait for the bond price to increase and increase your profits. Debt funds can experience short- to medium-term volatility. Longer-duration funds will be more affected by yield movements because they are more sensitive.
Increased Borrowing Cost
The cost of borrowing rises when repo rates rise. The increase in interest rates by the RBI will also affect home sales growth. In response to the continual rise in the price of raw materials, builders across the nation will increase real estate prices.
Consumer Spending
When borrowing prices increase, people are deterred from making significant purchases, which lowers the demand for products and services. Also, if inflation starts to slow down in the medium term, the average person will profit from higher spending levels.
Stagflation
An increase in the repo rate produces ripple effects. When obtaining loans becomes expensive, companies cut or stop employees, which results in unemployment.
Savings
Higher rates are beneficial for those with savings and fixed deposits.
EMIs for Loans
The optimism of new homebuyers will be undermined if banks boost interest rates and current borrowers' EMIs become even higher.
The bank rate and repo rate are both interest rates used by a country's central bank to control the money supply, but they serve different purposes and have distinct characteristics:
Bank Rate:
The rate at which the central bank loans funds to commercial banks without requiring any security or collateral.
1. Purpose: It is typically used for long-term lending purposes.
2. Impact: Changes in the bank rate affect the interest rates on long-term loans and deposits.
3. Frequency of Change: The bank rate is usually adjusted less frequently as compared to the repo rate.
4. Effect on Liquidity: Changes in the bank rate have a broader and more indirect impact on the economy's liquidity as compared to the repo rate.
Repo Rate:
The rate at which the central bank lends short-term money to commercial banks against government securities.
1. Purpose: It is primarily used for short-term lending to manage liquidity in the banking system.
2. Impact: Changes in the repo rate directly influence short-term interest rates and the immediate availability of funds in the economy. It is a tool for controlling inflation and stabilizing the currency.
3. Frequency of Change: The repo rate is reviewed and can be adjusted more frequently, often during regular policy reviews by the central bank.
4. Effect on Liquidity: The repo rate has a direct and immediate impact on the banking system's liquidity, affecting the money supply and short-term interest rates.
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RBI continually adjusts the repo rate and the reverse repo rate in response to shifting macroeconomic circumstances. Though differently, all economic sectors are impacted each time the RBI modifies interest rates. Some market segments profit from the rate increase while others suffer.
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